Dangote Refinery Petrol Supply Falls Below Projection in November — NMDPRA

Nigeria’s downstream oil regulator says Dangote Refinery produced below projected petrol output in November 2025, even as fuel imports surged to stabilise national supply ahead of festive demand.

Dangote Refinery Petrol Supply Falls Below Projection in November — NMDPRA

By Naija Enquirer Staff

The Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA) has disclosed that petrol supply from the Dangote Refinery fell below projected levels in November 2025, despite rising national fuel supply driven largely by imports.

The disclosure was contained in the regulator’s November 2025 State of the Midstream and Downstream Fact Sheet, which showed that while the Dangote Refinery was projected to deliver 35 million litres of petrol per day, actual domestic supply averaged just 23.52 million litres per day during the month.

The report also revealed that Nigeria’s average daily petrol consumption declined to 52.9 million litres in November, down from 56.7 million litres recorded in October 2025.

Despite the drop in consumption, total petrol supply increased significantly to an average of 71 million litres per day in November, compared with 46 million litres per day in October.

According to the NMDPRA, imported fuel accounted for 52.1 million litres per day of the total supply, while local refineries contributed 19.5 million litres.

The regulator attributed the surge in petrol supply to efforts to address supply shortfalls recorded in September and October 2025, when volumes fell below national demand thresholds, as well as the need to build strategic stock levels ahead of the end-of-year festive period.

NMDPRA also cited increased imports by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited, describing the national oil company as the “supplier of last resort” during the period.

“Twelve vessels programmed to discharge into October spilled into November 2025,” the authority stated, noting that domestic supply figures were calculated based on discharged volumes and refinery truck-outs.

The report further showed that Nigerians consumed an average of 15.4 million litres of diesel and 2.5 million litres of aviation fuel daily in November.

On refinery operations, the NMDPRA said the Port Harcourt Refinery continued to supply an average of 349,000 litres of diesel per day, despite being shut down for maintenance since May 24, 2025.

“No production activities have occurred since the refinery entered shutdown mode; however, evacuation of diesel produced before the shutdown continued,” the authority said.

The Warri and Kaduna refineries remain shut down, according to the report.

Among modular refineries, the Waltersmith Refinery recorded an average capacity utilisation of 63.32 percent, producing about 133,000 litres of diesel per day, while its 5,000 barrels-per-stream-day second train is currently undergoing commissioning.

The Edo Refinery operated at an average utilisation rate of 91.40 percent, producing roughly 60,000 litres of diesel daily. Aradel Refinery recorded 62.30 percent utilisation, with average diesel output of 296,000 litres per day.

However, the NMDPRA noted that OPAC and Duport refineries recorded no production during the review period.